Altria

Navigate firm data through the following pages:

Analyst Listing Primary Input Data
Derived Input Data Valuation Model Outcomes

Analyst Listing

The following analysts provide coverage for the subject firm as of May 2016:

Broker Analyst Analyst Email
Wells Fargo Securities Bonnie Herzog bonnie.herzog@wellsfargo.com
Stifel Nicolaus Christopher R. Growe growec@stifel.com
RBC Capital Markets Nik Modi nik.modi@rbccm.com
Cowen & Company Vivien Azer vivien.azer@cowen.com

Return to top of page

Primary Input Data

 

Return to top of page

Derived Input Data

Derived Input

Label

2015  Value

2016  Value

Equational Form
Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes NOPLAT  5,611   5,877 NOPLAT\, =\, EBIT\, x\, (1 \,-\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\, Rate\,\, on\,\, EBIT)
Free Cash Flow FCF  5,581  3,602 FCF\,=NOPLAT\,+\,Non-Cash\,Expenses-\Delta NWC\,-\,NCS
Tax Shield TS   276  255 TS\,=\,Interest\,\,Paid\,\,x\,\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\,Rate\,\, on\,\, Pre-Tax\,\, Income
Invested Capital IC  25,457  38,557 IC\,=\,Fixed\,\,Operating\,\,Assets\,\,+\,\,Net\,\, Working\,\, Capital
Return on Invested Capital ROIC 22.04% 15.24% ROIC\,=\,\frac { NOPLAT }{ IC }
Net Investment NetInv  (1,120)  13,304 NetInv\,=\,{ {IC}_{1}}-{{IC}_{0}}+Depreciation
Investment Rate IR -19.96% 226.39% IR\,=\,\frac {NetInv}{NOPLAT}
Weighted Average Cost of Capital WACCMarket 31.80% 22.81% WACC\,=\,\frac { E }{ V } { R }_{ E }\,+\,\frac { P }{ V } { R }_{ P }\,+\,\frac { D }{ V } { R }_{ D }\left( 1- Avg\,\, Tax\,\,Rate\,\,on\,\,Pre-Tax\,\,Income \right)
 WACCBook  7.12% 6.39%
Enterprise value EVMarket  127,190  143,025  EV\,=\,Market\,\,Cap\,\,Equity\,+\,\,Long\,\,Term\,\,Debt\,-\,Cash
 EVBook  122,441  140,716
EV/EBIT Multiple \frac{EV_{Market}}{EBIT}  14.73  15.82 EV/EBIT\,=\,\frac { EV}{ EBIT}
Long-Run Growth g = IR x ROIC
   -4.40%   34.50% Long-run growth rates of the income variable  are used in the Continuing Value portion of the valuation models.
 g = % \Delta GDP   2.50%   2.50%

Return to top of page

Valuation Model Outcomes

The outcomes presented in this study are the result of original input data, derived data, and synthesized inputs and, depending on the equational form of any particular valuation model, may result in irrelevant or implausible results.  For example, in the event WACC < g, the value of this term, often found in the denominator of an equation’s continuation value term, will be expressly negative and may result in a negative overall valuation for the firm.  In the event of a WACC < g relation, the model form as applied to the subject firm offers an irrelevant outcome.

Valuation Model Type

Label

Equational form
Key Value Driver (NOPLAT) KVD (NOPLAT) { Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { NOPLAT_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Key Value Driver (FCF) KVD (FCF)
{ Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Free Cash Flow FCF { Value }_{ DCF/FCF }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Economic Profit ECON π { Value }_{ { ECON\pi } }= I{ C }_{ 0 }+\sum { \frac { { IC }_{ t-1 }(ROI{ C }_{t}-WAC{C}_{t}) }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } }+ \frac {\frac { I{C}_{0}\ x\ (ROI{C}_{1}\ -\ WAC{C}_{1}) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Adjusted Present Value APV { Value }_{ APV }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ u }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } } +\sum { \frac { { TS }_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { TS }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ tax }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Forward Market Multiple FMM { Value }_{ DCF/FMM}=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { { EBIT }_{ 1 }\,{x}\,{FMM}}{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }{\,\,\,; \,\,FMM\,=\,\frac{{EV}_{t=0}}{{EBIT}_{t=0}}}
 

Return to top of page