Amazon

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Analyst Listing Primary Input Data
Derived Input Data Valuation Model Outcomes

Analyst Listing

The following analysts provide coverage for the subject firm as of May 2016:

Broker Analyst Analyst Email
Raymond James Aaron Kessler aaron.kessler@raymondjames.com
Jefferies Brian Pitz bpitz@jefferies.com
Bernstein Research Carlos Kirjner carlos.kirjner@bernstein.com
Monness Crespi Hardt Cengiz M. Cakmak jcakmak@mchny.com
BGC Financial, L.P. Colin W. Gillis cgillis@bgcpartners.com
The Benchmark Company, LLC Daniel L. Kurnos dkurnos@benchmarkcompany.com
BMO Capital Markets Daniel Salmon dan.salmon@bmo.com
KeyBanc Capital Markets Edward Yruma eyruma@key.com
Burke and Quick Partners, LLC Frederick W. Moran fmoran@bqpartners.com
Piper Jaffray Gene Munster gene.a.munster@pjc.com
Atlantic Equities James Cordwell j.cordwell@atlantic-equities.com
Oppenheimer Jason Helfstein jason.helfstein@opco.com
Cowen & Company John Blackledge john.blackledge@cowen.com
Daiwa Securities Co. Ltd. Kazuya Nishimura kazuya.nishimura@us.daiwacm.com
Evercore ISI Ken Sena ken.sena@evercoreisi.com
Needham Kerry Rice krice@needhamco.com
RBC Capital Markets Mark S. Mahaney mark.mahaney@rbccm.com
Canaccord Genuity Michael Graham mgraham@canaccordgenuity.com
Wedbush Securities Michael Pachter michael.pachter@wedbush.com
Mizuho Securities USA Neil A. Doshi neil.doshi@us.mizuho-sc.com
Nomura Research Robert S. Drbul robert.drbul@nomura.com
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Robert S. Peck robert.peck@suntrust.com
JMP Securities Ronald V. Josey rjosey@jmpsecurities.com
Deutsche Bank Research Ross Sandler ross.sandler@db.com
Wolfe Research Scott Mushkin smushkin@wolferesearch.com
Stifel Nicolaus Scott W. Devitt swdevitt@stifel.com
FBN Securities Shebly Seyrafi sseyrafi@fbnsecurities.com
Susquehanna Financial Group Shyam Patil shyam.patil@sig.com
Credit Suisse Stephen Ju stephen.ju@credit-suisse.com
Axiom Capital Victor Anthony vanthony@axiomcapital.com
Cantor Fitzgerald Youssef H. Squali ysquali@cantor.com

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Primary Input Data

 

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Derived Input Data

Derived Input

Label

2015  Value

2016  Value

Equational Form
Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes NOPLAT   1,110  2,829 NOPLAT\, =\, EBIT\, x\, (1 \,-\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\, Rate\,\, on\,\, EBIT)
Free Cash Flow FCF  7,331  9,706 FCF\,=NOPLAT\,+\,Non-Cash\,Expenses-\Delta NWC\,-\,NCS
Tax Shield TS  282  182 TS\,=\,Interest\,\,Paid\,\,x\,\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\,Rate\,\, on\,\, Pre-Tax\,\, Income
Invested Capital IC  33,806  42,206 IC\,=\,Fixed\,\,Operating\,\,Assets\,\,+\,\,Net\,\, Working\,\, Capital
Return on Invested Capital ROIC 3.28% 6.70% ROIC\,=\,\frac { NOPLAT }{ IC }
Net Investment NetInv  11,836  15,882 NetInv\,=\,{ {IC}_{1}}-{{IC}_{0}}+Depreciation
Investment Rate IR 1066.74% 561.31% IR\,=\,\frac {NetInv}{NOPLAT}
Weighted Average Cost of Capital WACCMarket 99.94% 142.61% WACC\,=\,\frac { E }{ V } { R }_{ E }\,+\,\frac { P }{ V } { R }_{ P }\,+\,\frac { D }{ V } { R }_{ D }\left( 1- Avg\,\, Tax\,\,Rate\,\,on\,\,Pre-Tax\,\,Income \right)
 WACCBook  8.69% 9.31%
Enterprise value EVMarket  307,355  340,281  EV\,=\,Market\,\,Cap\,\,Equity\,+\,\,Long\,\,Term\,\,Debt\,-\,Cash
 EVBook  306,771  339,401
EV/EBIT Multiple \frac{EV_{Market}}{EBIT}  180.06  78.17 EV/EBIT\,=\,\frac { EV}{ EBIT}
Long-Run Growth g = IR x ROIC
   35.01% 37.63% Long-run growth rates of the income variable  are used in the Continuing Value portion of the valuation models.
 g = % \Delta GDP 2.50% 2.50%

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Valuation Model Outcomes

The outcomes presented in this study are the result of original input data, derived data, and synthesized inputs and, depending on the equational form of any particular valuation model, may result in irrelevant or implausible results.  For example, in the event WACC < g, the value of this term, often found in the denominator of an equation’s continuation value term, will be expressly negative and may result in a negative overall valuation for the firm.  In the event of a WACC < g relation, the model form as applied to the subject firm offers an irrelevant outcome.

Valuation Model Type

Label

Equational form
Key Value Driver (NOPLAT) KVD (NOPLAT) { Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { NOPLAT_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Key Value Driver (FCF) KVD (FCF)
{ Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Free Cash Flow FCF { Value }_{ DCF/FCF }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Economic Profit ECON π { Value }_{ { ECON\pi } }= I{ C }_{ 0 }+\sum { \frac { { IC }_{ t-1 }(ROI{ C }_{t}-WAC{C}_{t}) }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } }+ \frac {\frac { I{C}_{0}\ x\ (ROI{C}_{1}\ -\ WAC{C}_{1}) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Adjusted Present Value APV { Value }_{ APV }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ u }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } } +\sum { \frac { { TS }_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { TS }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ tax }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Forward Market Multiple FMM { Value }_{ DCF/FMM}=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { { EBIT }_{ 1 }\,{x}\,{FMM}}{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }{\,\,\,; \,\,FMM\,=\,\frac{{EV}_{t=0}}{{EBIT}_{t=0}}}
 

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