Amgen

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Analyst Listing Primary Input Data
Derived Input Data Valuation Model Outcomes

Analyst Listing

The following analysts provide coverage for the subject firm as of May 2016:

Broker Analyst Analyst Email
Credit Suisse Alethia Young alethia.young@credit-suisse.com
Raymond James Christopher J. Raymond chris.raymond@raymondjames.com
Cowen & Company Eric Schmidt eric.schmidt@cowen.com
Jefferies Eun K. Yang eyang@jefferies.com
Leerink Partners Geoffrey C. Porges geoffrey.porges@leerink.com
BTIG Hartaj Singh hsingh@btig.com
Wells Fargo Securities Jim Birchenough jim.birchenough@wellsfargo.com
William Blair John Sonnier jsonnier@williamblair.com
Piper Jaffray Joshua Schimmer joshua.e.schimmer@pjc.com
BMO Capital Markets M. Ian Somaiya ian.somaiya@bmo.com
Evercore ISI Mark Schoenebaum mark.schoenebaum@evercoreisi.com
RBC Capital Markets Michael J. Yee michael.yee@rbccm.com
Atlantic Equities Steve Chesney s.chesney@atlantic-equities.com

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Primary Input Data

 

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Derived Input Data

Derived Input

Label

2015  Value

2016  Value

Equational Form

Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes NOPLAT   5,395  6,191 NOPLAT\, =\, EBIT\, x\, (1 \,-\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\, Rate\,\, on\,\, EBIT)
Free Cash Flow FCF  8,483  9,616 FCF\,=NOPLAT\,+\,Non-Cash\,Expenses-\Delta NWC\,-\,NCS
Tax Shield TS  142  200 TS\,=\,Interest\,\,Paid\,\,x\,\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\,Rate\,\, on\,\, Pre-Tax\,\, Income
Invested Capital IC  62,909  66,422 IC\,=\,Fixed\,\,Operating\,\,Assets\,\,+\,\,Net\,\, Working\,\, Capital
Return on Invested Capital ROIC 8.58% 9.32% ROIC\,=\,\frac { NOPLAT }{ IC }
Net Investment NetInv  3,016  5,618 NetInv\,=\,{ {IC}_{1}}-{{IC}_{0}}+Depreciation
Investment Rate IR 55.90% 90.75% IR\,=\,\frac {NetInv}{NOPLAT}
Weighted Average Cost of Capital WACCMarket 39.08% 29.64% WACC\,=\,\frac { E }{ V } { R }_{ E }\,+\,\frac { P }{ V } { R }_{ P }\,+\,\frac { D }{ V } { R }_{ D }\left( 1- Avg\,\, Tax\,\,Rate\,\,on\,\,Pre-Tax\,\,Income \right)
 WACCBook  9.71% 8.73%
Enterprise value EVMarket  124,207  105,860  EV\,=\,Market\,\,Cap\,\,Equity\,+\,\,Long\,\,Term\,\,Debt\,-\,Cash
 EVBook  120,321  100,040
EV/EBIT Multiple \frac{EV_{Market}}{EBIT}  14.96  11.12 EV/EBIT\,=\,\frac { EV}{ EBIT}
Long-Run Growth g = IR x ROIC
   4.79%    8.46% Long-run growth rates of the income variable  are used in the Continuing Value portion of the valuation models.
 g = % \Delta GDP     2.50%    2.50%

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Valuation Model Outcomes

The outcomes presented in this study are the result of original input data, derived data, and synthesized inputs and, depending on the equational form of any particular valuation model, may result in irrelevant or implausible results.  For example, in the event WACC < g, the value of this term, often found in the denominator of an equation’s continuation value term, will be expressly negative and may result in a negative overall valuation for the firm.  In the event of a WACC < g relation, the model form as applied to the subject firm offers an irrelevant outcome.

Valuation Model Type

Label

Equational form

Key Value Driver (NOPLAT) KVD (NOPLAT) { Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { NOPLAT_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Key Value Driver (FCF) KVD (FCF)
{ Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Free Cash Flow FCF  { Value }_{ DCF/FCF }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Economic Profit ECON π  { Value }_{ { ECON\pi } }= I{ C }_{ 0 }+\sum { \frac { { IC }_{ t-1 }(ROI{ C }_{t}-WAC{C}_{t}) }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } }+ \frac {\frac { I{C}_{0}\ x\ (ROI{C}_{1}\ -\ WAC{C}_{1}) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Adjusted Present Value APV { Value }_{ APV }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ u }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } } +\sum { \frac { { TS }_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { TS }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ tax }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Forward Market Multiple FMM  { Value }_{ DCF/FMM}=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { { EBIT }_{ 1 }\,{x}\,{FMM}}{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }{\,\,\,; \,\,FMM\,=\,\frac{{EV}_{t=0}}{{EBIT}_{t=0}}}
 

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