Exelon

Navigate firm data through the following pages:

Analyst Listing       Primary Input Data
Derived Input Data       Valuation Model Outcomes

Analyst Listing

The following analysts provide coverage for the subject firm as of May 2016:

Broker Analyst Analyst Email
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Ali Agha ali.agha@suntrust.com
Jefferies Anthony C. Crowdell acrowdell@jefferies.com
Wells Fargo Securities Neil Kalton neil.kalton@wellsfargo.com
KeyBanc Capital Markets Paul T. Ridzon pridzon@key.com
Guggenheim Securities Shahriar Pourreza shahriar.pourreza@guggenheimpartners.com

Return to top of page


Primary Input Data

 

Return to top of page


Derived Input Data

Derived Input

Label

2015  Value

2016  Value

Equational Form

Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Taxes NOPLAT  2,201   2,931 NOPLAT\, =\, EBIT\, x\, (1 \,-\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\, Rate\,\, on\,\, EBIT)
Free Cash Flow FCF  (8)  (108) FCF\,=NOPLAT\,+\,Non-Cash\,Expenses-\Delta NWC\,-\,NCS
Tax Shield TS  802  617 TS\,=\,Interest\,\,Paid\,\,x\,\, Avg \,\,Tax\,\,Rate\,\, on\,\, Pre-Tax\,\, Income
Invested Capital IC  86,266  101,447 IC\,=\,Fixed\,\,Operating\,\,Assets\,\,+\,\,Net\,\, Working\,\, Capital
Return on Invested Capital ROIC 2.55% 2.89% ROIC\,=\,\frac { NOPLAT }{ IC }
Net Investment NetInv  12,201  20,757 NetInv\,=\,{ {IC}_{1}}-{{IC}_{0}}+Depreciation
Investment Rate IR 554.36% 708.22% IR\,=\,\frac {NetInv}{NOPLAT}
Weighted Average Cost of Capital WACCMarket 4.43% 4.41% WACC\,=\,\frac { E }{ V } { R }_{ E }\,+\,\frac { P }{ V } { R }_{ P }\,+\,\frac { D }{ V } { R }_{ D }\left( 1- Avg\,\, Tax\,\,Rate\,\,on\,\,Pre-Tax\,\,Income \right)
 WACCBook  4.46% 3.86%
Enterprise value EVMarket  53,792  77,446  EV\,=\,Market\,\,Cap\,\,Equity\,+\,\,Long\,\,Term\,\,Debt\,-\,Cash
 EVBook  51,760  73,608
EV/EBIT Multiple \frac{EV_{Market}}{EBIT}  15.89  17.18 EV/EBIT\,=\,\frac { EV}{ EBIT}
Long-Run Growth g = IR x ROIC
  14.14%   20.46% Long-run growth rates of the income variable  are used in the Continuing Value portion of the valuation models.
 g = % \Delta GDP    2.50%   2.50%

Return to top of page


Valuation Model Outcomes

The outcomes presented in this study are the result of original input data, derived data, and synthesized inputs and, depending on the equational form of any particular valuation model, may result in irrelevant or implausible results.  For example, in the event WACC < g, the value of this term, often found in the denominator of an equation’s continuation value term, will be expressly negative and may result in a negative overall valuation for the firm.  In the event of a WACC < g relation, the model form as applied to the subject firm offers an irrelevant outcome.

Valuation Model Type

Label

Equational form

Key Value Driver (NOPLAT) KVD (NOPLAT) { Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { NOPLAT_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Key Value Driver (FCF) KVD (FCF)
{ Value }_{ DCF/KVD }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { NOPLAT }_{ 1 }\left( 1-\frac { g }{ ROIC } \right) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Free Cash Flow FCF  { Value }_{ DCF/FCF }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Economic Profit ECON π  { Value }_{ { ECON\pi } }= I{ C }_{ 0 }+\sum { \frac { { IC }_{ t-1 }(ROI{ C }_{t}-WAC{C}_{t}) }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } }+ \frac {\frac { I{C}_{0}\ x\ (ROI{C}_{1}\ -\ WAC{C}_{1}) }{ WACC-g } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Adjusted Present Value APV { Value }_{ APV }=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { FCF }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ u }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ u } \right) }^{ t } } } +\sum { \frac { { TS }_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { \frac { { TS }_{ 1 }}{ { k }_{ tax }-g } }{ { \left( 1+{ k }_{ tax } \right) }^{ t } } }
 
Forward Market Multiple FMM  { Value }_{ DCF/FMM}=\sum { \frac { FCF_{ t } }{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } +\frac { { EBIT }_{ 1 }\,{x}\,{FMM}}{ { \left( 1+WACC \right) }^{ t } } }{\,\,\,; \,\,FMM\,=\,\frac{{EV}_{t=0}}{{EBIT}_{t=0}}}
 

Return to top of page